There are "red flags" that may be observed by victims or bystanders. While professionals are better equipped to discern these concerns more adequately, if a stalker states verbally or implies that they are suicidal or homicidal, or they are exhibiting "last resort thinking," victims or bystanders should contact 911 immediately.
If you, a potential secondary victim, or bystander, have received a "red flag" warning, do not hesitate to call 911, or alert emergency authorities. If you feel in danger for your safety, consider a PPO, if you do not already have one, or consider removing yourself from known environments, such as your home, workplace, or school.
Gross, 2012, p. 218
Please reach us at info@juststalkingmdresources.org if you cannot find an answer to your question.
A direct threat or a directly communicated threat is one that can be written or oral using any form of communication, such as calling, sending a letter, but also through a third party (mediated contact), using social media platforms, or even by leaving messages on the victim's property (such as graffiti). These communications can be implicit or explicitly communicating the desire or intent to cause damage property, or one's reputation, harm, or even kill the primary victim, or a secondary victim (third-party) such as a child. Communicated threats are generally viewed as instrumental or expressive (Meloy, 2001). Instramental threats are intended to control or influence the behavior of the victim through an adverse consequence. Whereas expressive threats, are primarily used to regulate the affect of the threatener (stalker), (something said in the heat of the moment, to let off steam).
An implied threat is one that is communicated indirectly, such as 'be careful,' or 'watch your back' or they can be actions, such as sending a funeral bouquet or violent images to the victim 'anonymously.'
A false positive rate represents the proportion of subjects (stalkers) who directly threatened a victim, who did not go on to subsequently commit a violent act towards that victim.
A false negative rate represents the proportion of subjects (stalkers) who were violent toward the victim who did not directly threaten beforehand.
As it relates to this subject, there are two modes of violence, affective "howlers" who are described as highly autonomically aroused (Meloy, 2001). These howlers experience high levels of anger (or fear), and have an unplanned and immediate reaction to perceived threats and rejection.
Predatory "hunters" however, plan for days or even months for instrumental (purposeful) violent attacks, these individuals have variable goals, with cognitive motivations.
"Serious violent incidents" encompass cases in which the extent of actual or attempted harm, and rape, attempted rape, or sexual assault, (i.e. potentially life threatening or significant bodily injury) (Rosenfeld, 2004).
"Minor injuries" include: pushing, shoving slapping, kicking, biting small cuts, scrapes, bruises, abrasions, wounds that may require stitches, this does also include minor broken bones, and punches, (Rosenfeld, 2004).
An Extreme Risk Protective Order (ERPO) is a court-issued civil order temporarily requiring a person to:
surrender any firearms or ammunition to law enforcement; and
barring them from purchasing or possess firearms or ammunition.
The court can refer someone for an emergency evaluation due to mental disorder.
An ERPO cannot order a person to:
There are other legal remedies to obtain these protections.
Rosenfeld, 2004, p. 17
Includes thoughts, contemplation, or ideas of suicide expressed verbally or in writing.
Includes thoughts, contemplation, or ideas of homicide expressed verbally or in writing.
May include an increase in desperation or distress. The individual may express feeling trapped and justified (Meloy, et al, 2011). Final act behaviors may include expressing "no other options," termed "leakage warnings" (Meloy, et al., 2011), or sending "goodbye letters," amending wills, and securing finances.
Preoccupation with a person (or a cause) including, (a) increasing obsession,
(b) increasingly strident opinion,
(c) increasingly negative characterizations, (d) impact on the victim's family or associates, and/or
(e) angry emotional undertone.
These are typically accompanied by social or occupational deterioration. (Meloy, et al., 2011).
Is "Communication to a third party with the intent to do harm to a target through an attack." (Meloy, et al., 2011).
Bystanders, particularly neighbors, employees, friends and family of both victims and stalkers should be aware of these types of warnings and inform both the police and victims if they occur.
Some warnings may be "directly communicated" while others may be "novel aggression." It is important to remember that every stalking situation is different, and often victims know their stalker best, thus, if they have reason to believe a warning or threat is valid or reasonable, it should be followed up or acted upon (Meloy, et al. 2011).
Despite research that has suggested that many women who were murdered by an ex-partner has been stalked, not all victims who are stalked are assaulted, with the average of 20-30% Rosenfeld (2004) conducted a meta-analysis of 10 studies violence in stalking, at that time he identified the overall violence rate among 1,055 offenders to be 38.6%, and others have found a similar rate of 32% violence and 12% sexual assault (Logan, 2022; Sheridan & Roberts, 2011). However, there is a lack of consensus regarding the operational definition of "violence" within literature. Often, physical assault is used synonymously with violence, which to complicate matters can be an overly broad and all encompassing term, including "unwanted physical contact," "threat involving a weapon," or worse, "documented physical aggression" (Rosenfeld, 2004, p.12). Additional complicating factors in the violence literature, is the lack of differentiation between "minor" and "serious" violence of which McEwan, et al. (2016) only found 6%. Additional limitations and confusions come from a lack of distinguishing between stalker typologies and victim typologies, articulated McEwan, et al. (2009) who points out there is no way to distinguish between high and low-risk ex-intimates, acquaintances, or strangers though it is apparent subdivisions exist. Further more Logan (2022) and Rosenfeld (2004) who both discuss the lack of demographic data specifically the lack of gender data within the research.
Rosenfeld's (2004) analysis based on six applicable studies found a strong correlation of violence and threats. A finding, Logan (2022) emphasizes.
McEwan, et al. (2009) found that 21% of their sample made direct threats, of which 19% went on to commit serious violence. In 77% of the cases violence was accompanied by a threat, 63% of the threats were uttered separately and prior to violence, thus could be predictors of violence. However, in 60-90% of cases they immediately preceded violence, such that a stalker may follow a victim and become immediately violent (McEwan, et al., 2009).
Despite not threatening their victim., 64% of McEwan, et al.'s (2009) sample who were not rejected-stalker typologies were subsequently violent.
Logan (2022) found that both men and women who experience assaults endured a greater number of varied types of threats. Further analysis found that for men a number of different threats from the stalker was associated with being assaulted.
Researchers agree that prior intimates represent a high risk for violence (Rosenfeld, 2004; McEwan, et al., 2009). Logan (2022) found that almost half of the women stalked by an (ex-)partner were assaulted which was almost double the rate of non-partners, and double the rate of men regardless of relationship to their stalker.
McEwan, et al. (2009) identified two potential predictors for Rejected Stalkers - Ex-intimate Stalkers:
McEwan, et al. (2016) later amended the model among ex-intimates, to include:
Explaining, violent stalkers have more risk factors 77% of the time, those with fewer than two risk factors did not engage in violence.
Research has found the use of cyberstalking techniques were associated with violence among ex-intimates specifically (Logan, 2022).
However, McEwan, et al. (2016) found there was less violence (a significantly negative relationship) among ex-intimates who engaged in cyberstalking.
In Logan's (2022) study more women were assaulted by ex-partner stalkers than men.
While there is often an assumption based on other types of violence literature that prior offense history is the best predictor for stalking-related violence, this area is still under-developed and controversial (Rosenfeld (2004). There were also no significant findings regarding violence history across studies, however, firm conclusions should always be interpreted with caution, there is a possibility that some common correlates of violence in typical offender populations may not be associated with violence in stalking cases.
McEwan, et al. (2009) found that 41% of their sample had been violent prior to current stalking episode.
Logan (2022) identified that frequency of confrontation, approach and/or surveillance of a victim has been associated with violence.
Logal (2022) found that men and women who reported being assaulted also reported a history of violence towards them as well as forced confrontations. Finding, women in non-partner relationships reporting past violence at 46.3% and men at 16.6% overall%. Further analysis found for women, violence towards others was associated with assault (Logan, 2022).
Rosenfeld (2004) suggests that while the importance of past violence on the part of offenders on current stalking situations is currently inconclusive in relation to non-domestic situations, there is some evidence that it is a predictor (ex-)intimate stalking.
Writing to the victim was significantly negatively associated with stalking violence, however, in McEwan, et al.'s (2009) analysis no stalkers who wrote to victims were subsequently violent. However, Logan (2022) found that both male and female stalking victims reported the use of cyberstalking in association to assaults.
McEwan, et al. (2016) however found less violence (a negative relationship) when cyberstalking was employed.
McEwan, et al. (2009) also found that most approaches did not lead to violence, furthermore when when a stalker both approached and was violent this behavior was usually concurrent, during an episode of high arousal.
McEwan, et al. (2016) later identified a significant relationship between approach behaviors and violence (93.10%). However, in only 44.83% of this cases could the approach be determined to be prior to and separate from the violence.
It is questionable whether, approach behaviors have predictive value in risk assessment and are restricted to victim safety planning and risk management, such that action plans are created if a victim is followed or accosted (McEwan, et al., 2009).
Sheridan & Roberts (2011) found that previous research has suggested that short duration is a predictor of serious violence.
Logan (2022) also theorizes that the stalker's lack of concern for consequences such has legal or danger to themselves may be indicators of their lethality to a victim. Lack of consequences for stalking behavior has been shown to embolden stalkers resulting in violence. Logan (2022) also identified environmental factors such as being isolated as well as living or working with or near one's stalker.
Stalker gender has been associated with higher rates of assault, by men (Logan, 2022). Additionally, in her study she found more specifically, no differences in terms of victim gender who was assaulted in terms of non-partners (25.8%).
Rosenfeld (2004) found that while most demographic data has been sparse within stalking literature, therefore limiting its ability to be reviewed, younger offenders have often been more violent, McEwan, et al. (2004) specifically found stalkers under age 30 to be more violent. Previous research has also found non-Caucasian offenders and less educated offenders to have been more violence towards victims (Rosenfeld, 2004). However, data collected are most frequent among victims than offenders, and should be interpreted with caution, they are inconsistent and unclear.
A history of substance use or abuse has been correlated with an increased rate of stalking related violence, research has included alcohol, and other "drug use" (Rosenfeld, 2004, p.21).
McEwan, et al. (2009) specified that substance use at the time of the stalking episode in their study was found to have a significant relationship with stalking violence.
Stalking offenders with psychotic disorders have been consistently found to be less violent (Rosenfeld, 2004; McEwan, et al., 2009; McEwan, et al., 2016).
Personality disorders are prevalent among stalkers, but antisocial personality disorder, and psychopathy specifically, is noticeably absent, with studies consistently reporting lower prevalence rates as well as lower average PCL:SV scores among participants.
Interestingly, Rosenfeld (2004) found that while individual studies did not find statistically significant associations between personality disorders and violence the meta-analysis found a small association. In Rosenfeld's (2004) view, diagnostic variables are the strongest and most consistent correlates of violence within the stalking literature.
McEwan, et al. (2016) found that personality disorder(s) were unrelated to stalking violence in exploratory analysis.
Despite common misconception, Rosenfeld (2004) found that prior criminal history is unrelated to stalking. While there have been inconsistencies within the literature, the meta-analysis found no significant results. Sheridan & Roberts (2011) concur that previous research shows the absence of a criminal record was a strong predictor of violence. Additionally, McEwan, et al. (2016) finds it unrelated. Logan (2022) disputes this finding.
Sheridan & Roberts (2011) identified 11 key questions for professionals to utilize when assessing violence in stalking cases, however, they also keenly noted that victims are "equally adepts at assessing their own risk" (p.258). Therefore, I have provided them below.
Research suggests that stalkers history of stalking or harassment behaviors are strong indicators of their future behaviors (Sheridan & Roberts, 2022). Those who have been known to stalk strangers or public figures are prone to "serial stalking" and professionals or others in the community may even be aware of their behaviors (p.261). Furthermore, some stalkers may stop and resume behavior for unknown reasons, against the same victim this is known as recurrence.
As many as two-thirds of stalkers will damage victims' property, including adolescent stalking occurrences (Sheridan & Roberts, 2022). McEwan, et al. (2016) found among ex-intimate stalkers, property damage was shown to be specifically related to stalking violence. This may be due to anger, frustration, a desire to cause harm, undermining the victim's safety, these can be direct or indirect threats, and can involve surveillance. Property damage however, has been identified as both preceding or cooccurring physical attacks.
Stalkers have been known to use disguises and/or pose as another person such as delivery-persons, draw out information from unwitting neighbors, and devote hours to their campaign for decades. The advances of new technology to facilitate and enable harassment by impersonating, posting, misleading, or transmitting information should not be underestimated (Sheridan & Roberts, 2011).
In the majority of stalking cases there will be at least one secondary victim identified (Sheridan & Roberts, 2011). McEwan, et al. (2016) identified 6% of violence towards secondary victims. There may be many purposes to stalking secondary victims, including but not limited to upsetting the victim, obtaining information, removing obstacles, punishing the secondary victim. McEwan, et al. (2016) identified violence against primarily new partners, but also close relatives, housemates, and police. Stalkers may identify and target multiple or even "hundreds" of secondary victims throughout the course of their campaign, depending on a number of factors (Sheridan & Roberts, 2011).
Primary victims are not the only ones to be concerned with assaults and physical violence, secondary victims will be assaulted in between 6-17% of cases, in those cases, the stalker is more likely to also assault the primary victim as well (Sheridan & Roberts, 2011).
Direct threats and indirect threats are frequent, and should be taken seriously (Sheridan & Roberts, 2011). Research has found that threats may occur as far as months or even years into the future, yet are still strong predictors of violence. However, in McEwan's et al. (2016) research implicit threats specifically were not shown to be related to stalking violence, however, this should be interpreted with caution.
Research suggests that stalkers who loiter in places frequented by the victim tend to be more likely to assault. Additionally, McEwan, et al. (2016) found more violence between loitering/spying and violence, specifically regarding ex-intimate stalkers. There is some suggestion these stalkers are tracking victim's habits and compiling evidence, or that they may be frustrated by not achieving their goals (Sheridan & Roberts, 2011). Most stalkers will be observed by their victims, While some stalkers will make more efforts at concealment, others will not. Victims should maintain logs of their stalkers activities and collect any relevant evidence as applicable.
Research show the victim is frequently the "best assessor" of their risk (Sheridan & Roberts, 2011, p. 263). Despite what may look like "ordinary" behaviors, these behaviors, once repeated can become "menacing" and threatening, despite no "direct threat" (Sheridan & Roberts, 2011, p. 263). Victims' fears should be recorded and taken seriously.
Substance abuse by stalkers can contribute to both the basis from which stalking occurs and assaults (Sheridan & Roberts, 2011). However, McEwan, et al. (2016) did not find a relationship between substance use at the time of stalking episode and violence. Sheridan and Roberts (2011) theorize that substance use may directly precede an attack in that it may fuel and obsession through yearning or angry thought patterns, or may lead to confidence to attack a victim.
According to Sheridan & Roberts (2011) "nearly all stalking cases will ultimately involve face-to-face contact," with some stalkers approaching or surveilling more regularly than others (p. 264). However, according to their research, those who attempt face-to-face contacts more than three times a week, on average, are more likely to assault their victims.
This question includes general violence as it relates to not only past history of stalking, but other violence or criminal history. McEwan, et al. (2016) found that IPV, against the victim, specifically predicted stalking violence in ex-intimate cases. However, previous research has found that some of the most violent stalkers had no known criminal history (Sheridan & Roberts, 2011).
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